1. Avon Organics Ltd(Rs33/):
This Hyderabad based company is in the manufacturing and marketing of Diketene
with installed capacity of 2000 tpa. It also has Bio-tech division manufacturing
Ephedrine HCL. Equity is approx Rs 12.69 crs. Last year, company had incurred
heavy losses due to various factors. Due to cheaper imports from China, selling
price of Diketene had come down and on the other hand, price of raw-material had
gone up. However, promoters have been inefficient and not investor-friendly (allegations
of siphoning off funds). Recently, promoters of ARCH PHARMALABS have acquired
controlling stake in the company by buying-out exisitng promoters. Earlier, Arch
was know as Merven drugs. ARCH is a highly profitable company in which ICICI Venture
holding approx 14% equityand ILFS holding around 5% equity(stake acquired at Rs
150/ perhaps). It is reliably learnt that ARCH maybe listed on BSE/NSE next year
at around Rs 450-500/. Promoters are following Matrix Lab model (acquiring companies
with different portfolio). Some pharma analyst are confident that under new management,
Avon will make a sharp turnaround in its performance and should post profits in
near future. Further, Avon has received USFDA approval for its Biotech division
and will be able export Ephedrine to regulated markets where profit margins are
much higher. Moreover, with small capex, Avon can go for forward integration which
will enable it to produce value-added biotech products. Some knowledgeable investors
are extremely bullish on Avon Organics with price target of rs 90-110/ in less
than 15 months. There is a possibility that once Avon performance improves, it
may be merged with ARCH. A riskfree turnaround scrip for multibagger returns.
Buying in big quantity recommended 2. Garware Polyester Ltd(Rs 73/):
This mumbai based company has recently signed OTS agreement with IDBI under which
IDBI is being alloted shares at rs 59/. For 06-07, company had achived CASH EPS
of 15.24 on equity of 21.78 crs. During the year, company had paid interest charges
amounting to 46.30 crs. Now, company has been performing extremely well. In Q2,
it has achieved NP of 2.60 crs as against 19 lacs in corresponding quarter of
previous year. In H1, its CASH PROFIT is 21.90 crs after providing 27 crs for
interest charges. Company is likely to finalise sale of its Mumbai property for
Rs 280 in next few weeks. In fact, now company may get much higher price as recently,
Bandra Kurla Complex has witnessed more than 100% rise in land prices. Company
will use part of proceeds to settle OTS with IDBI. Thereafter, company is likely
to save Rs 35 crs in interest cost alone which means in 08-09, company can achieve
CASH profit of more than 70 crs and PAT of at least 40 crs. Scrip is being accumuated
by knowledgeable investors. Value of property sale alone will work out to Rs 130/
per share. A leading BSE broker has reportedly cornered big chunk of its shares
with price target of Rs 150-175/ in less than 9-12 months. 3. Kamanwala
Housing (Rs 208/):Share price of this Mumbai-based real-estate company may
cross Rs 275-300 mark in next few weeks. For 06-07, company had achieved EPS of
23.80. In 07-08, its performance is bumper. For Q2, its NP has zoomed by 440%
to 6.84 crs H1 EPS is 18.75. On small equity of 5.29 crs, company is sitting on
highly valued properties. Company is constructing 75000 sq ft commercial complex
in BKC where prevailing commercial property prices are around Rs 40,000 per s.f.
However, after more than 100% rise in land prices in latest auction, marketmen
are predicitng that commercial space prices in BKC can go upto Rs 50,000-60,000
per s f. Kamanwala will be hige beneficiary of such surge in property prices.
Further, company is also implementing several other projects in Andheri area(very
very close to international airport), Santacruz, Opera House. It has also partnered
with Prajay for a big project in Hyderabad. Company should report EPS of Rs 45
in 07-08 which can flare to Rs 60-65 in 08-09. It is one of the cheapest stocks
in real estate sector. Share price had touched Rs 320/ last year. Investment at
CMP can yield more than 100% appreciation in less than 1 year. Buy aggressively.
4. Eco Board Ind Ltd(Rs 17/): This Pune based company is engaged in
the production of pre-fabricated Boards made out of husk, used for office furniture/partitions
and residential furniture as well. Recently, company has completed CDR with FIs.
Equity is 17.08 crs. For Q2, company has achieved NP of 1.61 crs as against Loss
of 1.25 crs in corresponding quarter of previous year. Company has achieved sharp
turnaround due to lower raw material cost. Now, company plans to go for Furniture
manufacturing and is scouting for some MNC for this purpose. Moreover, company
is trying to get Carbon Credit as well. Some positive developments/announcement
from the company are expected in coming months. This low-priced pick can provide
more than 100% in less than 15 months. Buy large quantity and have patience.
5. JRG Securities(Rs 88/): This appears to be the cheapest scrip in
brokerage/financial services sector. This South-based brokerage firm has equity
of 12.79 crs (which will go up after equity allotment to BARING). In H1 , it has
reported Np of 3.31 crs. However, in near future, company will no longer be known
as an Indian brokerage outfit. Rather, it will be an MNC's associate. Recently
BARING SECURITIES(Thru Duckworth) has acquired controlling stake in JRG by picking
up 1.0382 cr shares and also 1.33 cr warrants. Now, Baring holds majority stake
in the JRG. Baring is investing nearly USD 35 million . Now it is felt that JRG
will go for aggressive branch expansionwith All-India presence. At present , brokerage
scrips are commanding mind-boggling valuations. Edelweiss scrip(Rs 5 FV) is
likely to be listed at rs 1500/ Geojit is enjoying PE ratio of 45-48. PE multiple
of India Infoline is around 85 and that of EMKAY is 38-40. Recently listed Religare
is quoting at multiple of nearly 180. In such a scenario, JRG is going dirt-cheap.
Once, Baring is in full command management of the JRG, scrip will definitely be
rerated as company can go for NBFC, Asset Manageent activities also. Ever since
BNP took stake in Geojit, valuations of Geojit have gone up by nearly 300%. Investors
should not be surprised if JRG quotes above Rs 250/ in just 18 months. An excellent
with almost sureshot multibagger retuns HEMANT
K. GUPTA Centre for Development of Financial Treasure .
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