Industry:
Food processing industry is one of the largest industries in India. It is ranked
fifth in terms of production, consumption, export and expected growth. It is recognized
as 'sunrise industry' having huge potential for uplifting agricultural economy,
creation of large scale processed food manufacturing and food chain facilities.This
industry is of enormous significance for India's development because of the vital
linkages and synergies that it promotes between the two pillars of theeconomy,
namely Industry and Agriculture. Company: Bambino is engaged in
the production of Vermicelli, Macaroni and other pasta products. All its products
are sold under the brand name "BAMBINO" which has aquired excellent
reputation in market, particularly in South it is a house-hold name. Company is
a key player in the organised sectorand enjoys a major market share. However,
competition from unorganised sector always remains there due to low entry barrier
in the food processing sector. Financial Performance:
| Year
Ended | | 31/3/2007 (Crs) | 31/3/2006 (Crs) | Turnover | 130.61 | 92.30 | PBIDT | 7.91 | 8.13 | Net
Profit/Loss | -0.77 | 0.44 | Equity | 6.17 | 6.17 | Production
MT | 69,990 | 43,992 |
IN 2006-07, Company has suffered loss of 77 lakhs but it is after providing
2.77 cr for depreciation. It means company earned CASH PROFIT of 2 cr during the
period.There was severe increase in prices of wheat and suji. This apart, hike
in cost of packing material also affected the margins. Though there was increase
in selling price but full increase in costs could not be passed on. Company could
achieve big jump in volumes of sales RATIONALE FOR RECOMMENDATION:
1. Company is on the verge of finalisation of CDR/OTS scheme with IDBI and
IFCI. Total outstanding dues to these 2 institutions are 53.02 crs. Company has
proposed to settle the same for 36.19 crs. It means there will be write back
of approx 17 crs. Post CDR, interest cost of the company can come down by 50%
(interest cost last year was 5.54 crs) 2. It is a widely believed
fact that majority of promoters try to suppress (and understate) the profits until
CDR is finalized with lenders. Because, companies show in the books actual/good
profits, then lenders may not give desired concessions. Hence, company should
show higher operating margins post-CDR (apart from savings in interest cost)
3. Company has big demand for its products. However, due to CDR scheme under
way, company cannot implement any expansion program. Hence, promoters in their
personal capacity have set up a new factory for same products and Bambino will
be responsible for marketing the production of this factory which will give further
push to topline of Bambino 4. Company holds 1.955 million shares in Spectrum
Power Company which is implementing 204 MW power project. This investment as on
now should be more than Rs 9-10 crs which works out to roughly Rs15 per share.
5. Land Value-unlocking potential: Its Gurgaon factory is situated on 10 acre
plot. Here, land prices are nearly Rs 15-18 crs per acre which means Gurgaon
factory land is worth more than Rs 150 crs which works to Rs 250/ per share.
Although, at present, this factory is running /producing and management so far
has not indicated to relocate this factory, yet it is felt that after CDR, promoters
may plan to relocate Gurgaon plant to another location (where land prices will
be very very low) and realise/gain huge amount by selling Gurgaon factory's land
as for a company of Bambino's size, it will be a huge sum which can be used to
payoff its debts, expansion, brand building etc 6. Current market capitalization
of Bambino is just Rs 32 crs which is one-fourth of its turnover of 06-07 although
market-cap of FMCG companies is always 3-5 times of topline. 7.Finally,
Bambino is a very renowned brand now which should be worth Rs 80-100 crs.
8. With advent of organised retailing all over India, it is not far-fetched
that big giants like Reliance, Walmart etc may enter into tie-up with Bambino
which will give a huge boost to the company Considering strong brand,
impending CDR, potential of land-value unlocking and bright chances of company
turning highly profitable in near future. market cap of 32 crs of Bambino appears
peanuts. SCRIPS IS GOING DIRT CHEAP. GRAB IT. It should easily give appreciation
of 50% in next 2 months(upon announcement of CDR proposal acceptance). Investors
are advised to hold the scrip for medium-long term ( 12-18 mnths) as scrip may
give 200-250% appreciation. APPEARS AS THE CHEAPEST FMCG SCRIP. A must buy
Hemant
K. Gupta Centre for Development Of financial Treasure
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